Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1867.982765 2040.830155 2217.700599 2411.945325 2618.996978 2832.821114 3070.049774
2024-10-20 1584.459806 1837.289487 2107.520893 2416.747810 2759.684915 3127.242818 3549.840121
2024-10-27 1348.278443 1638.085810 1958.455353 2336.633964 2768.528952 3244.081900 3804.916933
2024-11-03 1260.768737 1589.361069 1962.322037 2413.251617 2939.809963 3531.382632 4242.221179
2024-11-10 1174.904185 1531.460733 1945.869825 2457.648710 3066.986562 3763.559473 4614.052921
2024-11-17 1078.833721 1452.078000 1895.786175 2454.778322 3132.449773 3919.609297 4894.791492
2024-11-24 983.481888 1365.695725 1830.076877 2426.337028 3161.594380 4028.470688 5116.968121
2024-12-01 925.091538 1320.883894 1811.136793 2451.181737 3252.161672 4208.700443 5423.649839
2024-12-08 861.935030 1265.277238 1774.505845 2450.234816 3308.045181 4345.138547 5676.911401
2024-12-15 826.053718 1242.714952 1777.663927 2497.661416 3423.022584 4553.652626 6019.148540
2024-12-22 767.154057 1185.435430 1732.336916 2479.728366 3453.022459 4655.574914 6229.669992
2024-12-29 742.440750 1173.116497 1744.776833 2535.831966 3577.079502 4875.260235 6587.989854
2025-01-05 699.664897 1133.994229 1720.440357 2543.437889 3639.749648 5020.330443 6857.688980
2025-01-12 659.085027 1095.697220 1695.310601 2548.496058 3698.350322 5160.477892 7122.759076
2025-01-19 592.076391 1014.972690 1607.693807 2465.036542 3636.479139 5143.070531 7184.859342
2025-01-26 583.077725 1019.482594 1639.152469 2544.854941 3793.120236 5409.955561 7614.500557
2025-02-02 564.277623 1007.948325 1646.838700 2591.095777 3904.524314 5618.603929 7970.758337
2025-02-09 532.095225 973.970300 1620.495645 2588.106425 3947.947996 5737.518046 8210.762876
2025-02-16 494.640254 929.539277 1576.796829 2558.484593 3953.148698 5804.704558 8382.620392
2025-02-23 474.956558 912.254460 1572.303062 2584.360732 4034.905849 5974.354257 8690.785768
2025-03-02 449.470622 884.069057 1550.107480 2583.374544 4078.325981 6092.262732 8930.870724
2025-03-09 438.301820 878.868270 1562.390586 2632.763442 4193.046416 6307.577406 9302.845277
2025-03-16 411.194430 845.335052 1529.616343 2614.089444 4210.052103 6389.331076 9495.749355